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>Personally, my guess is that most people will be doing mostly LRFD within
>the next 5 to 15 years.  As more of the younger generation (i.e.
>those of us who learned LRFD in school) become more seasoned, there will
>be more acceptance of the young pups that come out of school achin' to do

Curious. As a young pup I was achin' to do what experienced engineers 
were doing. Without meaning to step on anyone's sensibilities, could it 
be that LRFD is being pushed on the profession by academia?

Truth to tell, we're getting something of the sort over here on the dark 
side. Pressure vessel code committees seem fairly heavy with academics, 
probably because industry budgets for that sort of thing are getting 
smaller. Seems like fewer papers from engineers in industrial practice 
for technical conferences, I suspect for the same reason. 

Seems like the first time I've run into a situation where a course of 
instruction doesn't reflect professional practice but rather aims to 
change such practice. Imagine someone walking into a fluid mechanics 
class and announcing that viscosity is an obsolete term and thereafter 
shearing stress is actually the velocity gradient divided by a better, 
more up-to-date physical property called 'slipidity.' And never mind that 
the physics hasn't changed--in five years viscous drag will be completely 
replaced by non-slipitude, making the world a better place in which to 
live. ;-> 

Did I mention that I use ASD?

Christopher Wright P.E.    |"They couldn't hit an elephant from
chrisw(--nospam--at)        | this distance"   (last words of Gen.
___________________________| John Sedgwick, Spotsylvania 1864)